CAPITAL, LIVING STANDARDS & LONG-RUN GROWTH
The Solow Lab
Follow an economy one year at a time. See why capital makes it richer—and why lasting growth needs more.
Δk = sf(k) − δk
Chapter 8 · Start with the basic modelCHAPTER 8 · FIXED LABOR FORCE & TECHNOLOGY
What makes capital grow?
New investment adds to the stock. Depreciation takes some away. The difference becomes next year’s capital.
Investment and depreciation
Horizontal axis: capital per worker, not time.
Levels over time
Growth in output per worker
A higher level can coexist with a growth rate approaching zero.
THE SAME YEAR, IN NUMBERS
How year 1 becomes year 2
Each amount is per worker. Capital is a stock; output, consumption, investment, and depreciation are annual flows.
The slide table, made interactive
Select a number to see its calculation. The last row is the theoretical long-run limit. Calculations use unrounded values; year 3’s depreciation is 0.439, correcting the slide’s 0.440.
| Year | k | y | c | i | δk | Δk |
|---|
Select any number in the table.
Why does growth slow down?
Each extra unit of capital adds less output than the previous one: diminishing MPK. Investment still rises as the economy gets richer, but it rises more slowly than it would without diminishing returns. Meanwhile, replacing worn-out capital requires δ times the entire capital stock. Eventually investment just covers replacement.
The first machine can transform someone’s work. The hundredth machine assigned to that same worker may add very little. This is diminishing returns to capital with labor and technology fixed, even though the production function has constant returns to scale when both K and L rise together.
CHAPTER 8 · CONSUMPTION NOW & LATER
How much saving is enough?
Higher saving raises the long-run level of output. It does not always raise long-run consumption.
Long-run consumption as saving changes
Each point is a different steady stateConsumption during the transition
The vertical jump at year 21 is a change in consumption’s share of existing output. Capital and output do not jump when the saving rate changes.
| Measure | Original steady state | New steady state |
|---|
Why is the Golden Rule where MPK = δ?
c* = f(k*) − δk*
Steady-state consumption is output left after replacing worn-out capital. One extra unit of capital adds MPK units of output but requires δ more units of replacement investment each year. Below the Golden Rule, the extra output exceeds the extra replacement cost. Above it, the extra replacement cost is greater.
The Golden Rule maximizes consumption across steady states. It is not a claim that everyone prefers the transition, or that consumption should always be postponed. The economy moves toward the steady state implied by its saving rate; it does not automatically choose the Golden Rule.
Output and replacement at the Golden Rule
For this Cobb–Douglas example, the Golden Rule saving rate equals α = ½. That equality is a result of this production function, not the definition of the Golden Rule.
CHAPTER 9 · EXTENDING THE MODEL
Can living standards keep growing?
More workers can raise total GDP. Improving labor efficiency can keep raising output per worker.
Living standards over 100 years
Output per actual worker, Y/L. The comparison keeps the same initial capital, labor force, and saving rate. Without efficiency growth, capital deepening can still raise output temporarily.
Investment and break-even investment
Amounts per effective worker| Measure | Mankiw’s notation | Long-run growth rate |
|---|
Why doesn’t steady state mean a stationary economy?
With technological progress, “steady” refers to capital and output per effective worker. E keeps increasing, so the same y translates into more output per actual worker: Y/L = Ey. Capital per actual worker K/L rises too. Investment continues to replace depreciating capital and equip both additional workers and additional effective labor.
A higher saving rate can lift the economy’s path, but with diminishing returns it cannot permanently steepen the path’s growth rate. A one-time improvement in technology raises a level; a continuing positive g sustains growth in living standards.
Δk = sf(k) − (δ + n + g)k
Timing note: this extension solves the continuous-time form of Mankiw’s growth equation and displays annual observations. Rates n and g are continuously compounded; n + g is the model’s total-output growth rate. The Chapter 8 table separately uses the exact annual recurrence printed in the slides.
CHAPTER 10 · GROWTH ACCOUNTING
Where did the growth come from?
Account for more capital and more labor. The Solow residual is the growth left unexplained by those measured inputs.
THE SOLOW RESIDUAL · ΔA/A
Contributions to output growth
Contributions are in percentage points; they add to the output growth rate.
What does the residual tell us?
We produced more—or less—than measured input growth alone would predict. Better techniques, organization, and allocation can contribute. So can omitted input quality, changes in utilization, and measurement error. The residual is an accounting result, not a direct count of inventions or proof of a particular cause.
Is this the same gap as Δk?
No. In the Solow diagram, Δk is investment minus break-even investment. The Solow residual is output growth minus the share-weighted contributions of capital and labor. They answer different questions.
Show the equation—and connect A to E
Y = AKαL1−α
ΔA/A ≈ ΔY/Y − α(ΔK/K) − (1−α)(ΔL/L)
This is the usual small-growth-rate approximation, with constant factor shares. A is total factor productivity. It is distinct from labor efficiency E in Chapter 9.
With the same Cobb–Douglas production function, writing Y = Kα(EL)1−α implies A = E1−α. In continuous growth rates, ΔA/A = (1−α)g. A 2% rise in labor efficiency therefore does not mean 2% TFP growth.
On the balanced-growth path, TFP growth and capital deepening both contribute in growth accounting. Yet continuing technological progress is what sustains the model’s growth in output per worker. Accounting for growth and explaining its long-run driver are related but different exercises.
REVIEW · MANKIW’S NOTATION
Make the model make sense
Use the explanations, then check whether you can predict the model’s behavior.
The symbols, in plain language
| Symbol | Meaning |
|---|---|
| K, L, Y | Total capital, labor, and output |
| k, y | Chapter 8: K/L and Y/L, per worker. With technology in Chapter 9: K/(LE) and Y/(LE), per effective worker. |
| c, i | Consumption and investment, using the same denominator as k and y |
| s | Saving rate: the share of output invested |
| δ, δk | Depreciation rate, and the amount of capital wearing out |
| Δk | Change in capital per worker (per effective worker in the technology model) |
| k*, y*, c* | Steady-state values; the star does not mean “best” |
| MPK | Extra output from a little more capital; the slope of f(k) |
| n | Growth rate of the labor force |
| E, g | Labor efficiency, and its growth rate |
| A | Total factor productivity in growth accounting |
| α | Capital’s exponent and competitive income share in Cobb–Douglas; not s |
Common points of confusion
Steady state is not the Golden Rule
Given s, the economy approaches its implied k*. The Golden Rule asks which saving rate would support the steady state with the greatest consumption. Most saving rates do not produce the Golden Rule.
Saving is not additional output today
With k fixed today, y is fixed by f(k). Saving changes how that output is divided. More investment today can produce more capital and output tomorrow.
Gross investment is not net investment
Gross investment is i. With fixed labor and technology, net investment is i − δk = Δk. At steady state, i is positive even though Δk is zero.
A level is not a growth rate
A country can be rich and growing slowly, or poor and growing quickly. Higher saving raises the steady-state level of output, but does not sustain a higher growth rate in output per worker.
Constant returns and diminishing MPK can coexist
Double both K and L and output doubles. Increase K alone, holding L fixed, and the extra output from each additional unit of K gets smaller.
Poor economies do not all converge to the same income
Economies with the same production function, saving, depreciation, population growth, and technology path converge toward the same steady-state relationship. Different fundamentals can imply different destinations. This is conditional convergence.
Technology is held fixed before it is explained
The basic Solow model treats technological progress as given. It shows its consequences, but does not explain why g takes a particular value. That opens the door to endogenous growth and the economics of innovation.
CHECK YOUR UNDERSTANDING
Predict, then explain
No score is recorded. Select an answer to see the reasoning.
Model assumptions and numerical conventions
This is a closed economy with Y = C + I, constant returns to scale, diminishing marginal product of capital, fixed saving rates within each scenario, and no government purchases or net exports. The basic model holds L and technology fixed. Production is normalized to y = kα; all levels are illustrative model units.
Chapter 8 reproduces the slides’ annual step Δk = sf(k) − δk, using unrounded values internally. The Golden Rule transition uses the same annual step. Chapter 9 uses the continuous-time equation with population and technology and samples its exact Cobb–Douglas solution once each year. The different timing conventions avoid introducing cross-term errors while preserving the slide table exactly. Displayed rounding does not affect the model.
The Golden Rule is a criterion for maximum steady-state consumption, not a complete social-welfare calculation. Growth accounting is an approximate decomposition, not a causal identification strategy. Changes made in one section do not silently alter the assumptions in another.